Mudcat Café message #884036 The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #54636   Message #884036
Posted By: IanC
06-Feb-03 - 11:20 AM
Thread Name: Sign a E Petition to 10 Downing St PELs
Subject: RE: Sign a E Petition to 10 Downing St PELs
Numbers games ...

There is now a clear sign of a decline, with the number of signatures per day dropping from 1774 2 weeks ago through 1513 last Thursday to 832 today. The average drop seems to be about 100 a day (today's 832 was over 150 less than yesterday's 989 so it may be accelerating).

This is borne out by the week-by-week figures, which are 6161 for today, down 700 or so from yesterday's 6842. This was, in turn, down slightly less than 700 from Tuesday's 7505 which, in turn, was just less than 700 down from Monday's 8167.

On a linear interpolation, this would get us to just over 70,000. This may well be close to a "worst case" figure as, though the rate of decay is lower than previously predicted, the decay is also likely to be better than a linear assumption.

Unless something happens to boost the number of signatures in the near future, chances are that it won't progress beyond a maximum of about 75,000 whatever happens. Still pretty good!

The number currently stands at 67,559.