Mudcat Café message #3995551 The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #165570   Message #3995551
Posted By: Iains
07-Jun-19 - 01:42 PM
Thread Name: BS: Brexit #3: A futile gesture?
Subject: RE: BS: Brexit #3: A futile gesture?
Nigel it was but rumour and hearsay when I posted. Confirmation came 5 minutes later.


You really don't.Oh but I do!    I await with baited breath(so to speak)

To put the by election result into remainer terms we can use a simple analogy for the proposed terms of a second referendum:

Leave with deal                Vote Tory
leave without deal             Vote Brexit Party
Stay in EU                        Vote Labour

If the vote is split between Tory supporters and the Brexit party unintended consequences occur, namely Labour shuffles in. It is a little simplistic because obviously as a local election with a 20%component of foreigners numerous factors come into play and Labour exploited this far better than the opposition,despite the new MP's controversial social media posts.

However for the Brexit party, that only came into being recently, to come a close second is a major achievement, no matter how hard you try to deny it. They came out of nowhere to take 29% of the vote.