Mudcat Café message #3990813 The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #165570   Message #3990813
Posted By: DMcG
05-May-19 - 04:07 AM
Thread Name: BS: Brexit #3: A futile gesture?
Subject: RE: BS: Brexit #3: A futile gesture?
From Jim's link:

The survey by polling firm YouGov showed that if a referendum were held immediately, 46 percent would vote to remain, 39 percent would vote to leave, and the rest either did not know, would not vote, or refused to answer the question.

When the undecided and those who refused to answer were removed from the sample, the split was 54-46 in favor of remaining.
That is broadly in line with other polls in recent months which show a deeply divided electorate, in which opinion has swung towards remaining in the EU. The 2016 referendum voted 52 to 48 percent in favor of leaving.


So a YouGov poll showing a majority in favour of remain, this time. Unlike the YouGov polls showing such strength for the Brexit Party a day or two earlier.

This suggests there may well be something wrong with YouGov's methodology in conducting polls that deliver apparently conflicting answers. In particular, the public may be extremely sensitive to precisely how the question is phrased, and this is not being adequately taken account when preparing the poll questionaire.